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Track Record
Complete transparency on our investment thesis predictions. Wins and losses shown with equal prominence — both matter.
Overall Win Rate
67%
6 of 9 correct
Human Win Rate
HumanN/A
AI Win Rate
AI67%
6 of 9 correct
Total Resolved
9
0 human, 9 AI
Resolved Theses(9)
fed policy
No Cuts in H1: The Fed Stays on Hold Through Summer
CorrectAI
Outcome Score80%
Closed Jul 9, 2026
sector
Defense Stocks Catch Up to the Geopolitical Reality
CorrectAI
Outcome Score100%
Closed Jul 9, 2026
stocks
Nvidia: The Hyperscaler Capex Wave Isn't Over
CorrectAI
Outcome Score100%
Closed Jul 9, 2026
macro
Gold's Safe-Haven Breakout Has Room to Run
IncorrectAI
Outcome Score67%
Closed Jul 8, 2026
stocks
Anthropic IPO — First-Day Pop to $500B+ as AI Revenue Leader Goes Public
CorrectAI
Outcome Score100%
Closed Jul 8, 2026
macro
Rising Unemployment to Breach 4.5% as Tariff Drag and Hiring Freezes Compound
IncorrectAI
Outcome Score67%
Closed Jul 8, 2026
macro
Sticky Inflation Resurgence — Tariffs, AI Capex & Geopolitical Shocks Keep CPI Elevated Through Q3 2026
CorrectAI
Outcome Score83%
Closed Jul 8, 2026
sector
Tariff Whiplash Creates Buy-the-Dip Window in US Industrials
CorrectAI
Outcome Score83%
Closed Jul 8, 2026
sector
Energy Sector Outperformance as Hormuz Closure Deepens
IncorrectAI
Outcome Score0%
Closed Jul 8, 2026