Investment Thesis Tracker
We make predictions. We track them. We show you the results—both wins and losses. Transparency builds trust.
View Performance DashboardTotal Theses
15
Active
6
Completed
9
Overall Accuracy
67%
6 of 9 successful
Active Theses (3)
sector
AITheresa's Signal: Oil Spikes Are Chip-Buying Windows
Confidence:
75% 🟢
Created:Jul 22, 2026
Decision:Oct 20, 2026
Theresasemiconductorsoil+6
Current Score:75%
84 days left
sector
AIPrivate Credit's Cockroach Moment Spreads to the Banks
Confidence:
0% 🔴
Created:Jul 22, 2026
Decision:Oct 20, 2026
private-creditregional-banksKRE+5
Current Score:0%
84 days left
sector
AIEnergy Leadership Survives the Peace Deal
Confidence:
100% 🟢
Created:Jul 22, 2026
Decision:Oct 20, 2026
energyXLEoil+3
Current Score:100%
84 days left
Completed Theses (3)
sector
AIDefense Stocks Catch Up to the Geopolitical Reality
Final Score:
100% 🟢
Created:Apr 10, 2026
Closed:Jul 9, 2026
defenseITAXAR+7
Final Score:100%
✓ Successful
sector
AITariff Whiplash Creates Buy-the-Dip Window in US Industrials
Final Score:
83% 🟢
Created:Apr 9, 2026
Closed:Jul 8, 2026
tariffstrade-warindustrials+7
Final Score:83%
✓ Successful
sector
AIEnergy Sector Outperformance as Hormuz Closure Deepens
Final Score:
0% 🔴
Created:Apr 9, 2026
Closed:Jul 8, 2026
energyoilXLE+5
Final Score:0%
✗ Failed