Investment Thesis Tracker

We make predictions. We track them. We show you the results—both wins and losses. Transparency builds trust.

View Performance Dashboard
Total Theses
15
Active
6
Completed
9
Overall Accuracy
67%
6 of 9 successful

Active Theses (6)

sector
AI

Theresa's Signal: Oil Spikes Are Chip-Buying Windows

Confidence:
75% 🟢
Created:Jul 22, 2026
Decision:Oct 20, 2026
Theresasemiconductorsoil+6
Current Score:75%
84 days left
sector
AI

Private Credit's Cockroach Moment Spreads to the Banks

Confidence:
0% 🔴
Created:Jul 22, 2026
Decision:Oct 20, 2026
private-creditregional-banksKRE+5
Current Score:0%
84 days left
stocks
AI

Apple's Triple Catalyst: Leasing + iPhone 18 + Pricing Power

Confidence:
33% 🔴
Created:Jul 22, 2026
Decision:Oct 20, 2026
AAPLAppleiPhone-18+4
Current Score:33%
84 days left
sector
AI

Energy Leadership Survives the Peace Deal

Confidence:
100% 🟢
Created:Jul 22, 2026
Decision:Oct 20, 2026
energyXLEoil+3
Current Score:100%
84 days left
stocks
AI

AI Chip Correction Is a Dip, Not a Top

Confidence:
50% 🟡
Created:Jul 22, 2026
Decision:Oct 20, 2026
semiconductorsAISOXX+4
Current Score:50%
84 days left
macro
Human

Housing Bubble 2.0: Echoes of 2008

Confidence:
50% 🟡
Created:May 19, 2026
Decision:May 19, 2028
housingreal-estatemacro+9
Current Score:50%
661 days left