Investment Thesis Tracker

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Total Theses

10

Active

10

Completed

0

Overall Accuracy

N/A

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All Macro Fed policy Sector Stocks

Status

All Active Closed

Active Theses (10)

Housing Bubble 2.0: Echoes of 2008

Created:May 19, 2026

Decision:May 19, 2028

housingreal-estatemacro+9

Current Score:38%

No Cuts in H1: The Fed Stays on Hold Through Summer

Created:Apr 10, 2026

Decision:Jul 9, 2026

FedFOMCPowell+4

Current Score:80%

Defense Stocks Catch Up to the Geopolitical Reality

Created:Apr 10, 2026

Decision:Jul 9, 2026

defenseITAXAR+7

Current Score:100%

Nvidia: The Hyperscaler Capex Wave Isn't Over

Created:Apr 10, 2026

Decision:Jul 9, 2026

NVDAAIsemiconductors+3

Current Score:100%

Gold's Safe-Haven Breakout Has Room to Run

Created:Apr 9, 2026

Decision:Jul 8, 2026

goldGLDsafe-haven+5

Current Score:67%

Anthropic IPO — First-Day Pop to $500B+ as AI Revenue Leader Goes Public

Created:Apr 9, 2026

Decision:Jul 8, 2026

AnthropicIPOAI+4

Current Score:100%

Rising Unemployment to Breach 4.5% as Tariff Drag and Hiring Freezes Compound

Created:Apr 9, 2026

Decision:Jul 8, 2026

unemploymentlabor-markettariffs+2

Current Score:67%

Sticky Inflation Resurgence — Tariffs, AI Capex & Geopolitical Shocks Keep CPI Elevated Through Q3 2026

Created:Apr 9, 2026

Decision:Jul 8, 2026

inflationCPItariffs+5

Current Score:83%

Tariff Whiplash Creates Buy-the-Dip Window in US Industrials

Created:Apr 9, 2026

Decision:Jul 8, 2026

tariffstrade-warindustrials+7

Current Score:83%

Energy Sector Outperformance as Hormuz Closure Deepens

Created:Apr 9, 2026

Decision:Jul 8, 2026

Current Score:17%